Should one act only upon what one knows?
Searching. Mary is in the park, looking for Fred. She recognizes Fred's friend Ted some distance away on the left. Knowing that Fred is often in the park with Ted, she turns that way.
Waiting. Alexandre is waiting for Veronique in a cafe. He's been waiting for several hours now, and is doubtful that Veronique will ever show up. Nevertheless, he thinks it is worth waiting some more.
Mary and Alexandre are acting rationally here, even though Mary does not know that Fred is to the left, and Alexandre does not know that Veronique will ever show up. Even if it turns out that both were wrong, I wouldn't blame them for their decisions.
Situations like this occur all the time. When we make a decision, we often don't know which course of action will be best. All we can reasonably do is consider the available evidence and then go for an option with reasonably high chance of success and relatively low costs. (By 'chance', I mean subjective credence, of course: we can't go by objective chance unless we happen to know what it is, which usually we don't.)
If anything like this is true, then knowledge cannot be the norm of action. That is, it cannot be true that one should act upon p only if one knows that p, as John Hawthorne and Jason Stanley have recently suggested.
One argument in favour of the knowledge constraint is that it explains why we are less likely to make knowledge attributions when the stakes are high than when they are low (see the introduction to Stanley's Knowledge and Practical Interests):
Bank: Hannah stops at her bank on a Friday afternoon, intending to deposit a check. She sees a long queue and decides to come back the following day, remembering that the bank was open on the previous Saturday.
We're more inclined to say that Hannah knows that the bank will be open the following day when little is at stake for her than when her whole life depends on depositing the cheque before Monday. This corresponds to what is rational for her to do: if little is at stake, she should come back tomorrow; if a lot is at stake, she should line up in the queue today.
This judgment about rationality is explained by decision theory, without any mention of knowledge: if Hannah is somewhat confident that the bank will be open tomorrow and depositing the cheque today is bothersome, she ought to do it tomorrow unless the cost of not doing it on either day would be too high.
Nevertheless, the question remains why our judgments about knowledge always follow our judgments about what is rational to do. The answer is that they don't. Jonathan Schaffer argues in "The irrelevance of the subject" that in cases like Bank, our willingness to attribute knowledge doesn't really go with what is at stake (and thereby with what is rational to do), but rather with the salience of certain doubts. My intuitions are less clear than his, but even if our knowledge attributions went with what is rational to do in a few Bank cases, this is not enough.
As knowledge is not the same thing as sufficient credence, it is easy to construct cases where an action is rational according to decision theory but not according to the knowledge constraint, and vice versa. The two stories with which I began are of this kind: in Searching and Waiting, the agents act rationally despite not possessing the relevant knowledge. Mary doesn't know whether Fred is over there, Alexandre doesn't know whether Veronique will show up. (They probably do know that there is a certain subjective probability for Fred to be over there and for Alexandre to show up, but the proposed knowledge constraint is that for acting upon p, you should know that p, not merely know that your credence in p is sufficiently high.) So in this case, my intuitions follow the decision theoretic predictions and not the knowledge constraint.
The other direction, knowledge with insufficient credence, is a bit more unusual.
APPD Fred and Ted are offered a bet for 1 cent paying infinite happiness if the Anarchist Pogo Party of Germany wins the next federal elections. 1 cent is worth almost nothing to them and the bet has no other subjective cost. Both Fred and Ted reasonably give a credence around 0.0001 to the APPD winning. Fred accepts the bet, Ted rejects.
It seems to me that Ted's action was irrational. Moreover, there is no context in which it is true to say that the action was rational. But there are contexts in which it is true to say that Ted knows that the APPD will not win the next elections. Therefore, it is possible to act upon something that counts as knowledge (that the APPD will not win), but where doing so is irrational. Again, decision theory, but not the knowledge constraint, gives the intuitively right result.
It's true that the decision theoretic standard says nothing about how the credence comes about. And we do blame people if they act upon irrational credences. But in this case, we should really blame them for the credences, not for the actions. Often, that's exactly what we do, when we say that they shouldn't have been so confident, that there was no evidence, etc.
NB: the decision theoretic standard for rational action is not high credence. There are clear cases where one should not act upon p even though one has high credence in p, and cases where one should act upon p even though one has low credence in p. What is the rational thing to do depends not only on credence, but also on what is at stake -- more generally, on the potential benefits and costs.
Hi wo,
I wonder if one might insist that in both Searching and Waiting, the respective characters should act only on what they know about the relevant objective chances. True, as you point out, we usually don't know the relevant chances, but then again, some norms could just be very demanding. (It might help if sometimes, one only needs to know whether the relevant chances are high or low, never mind their exact values.)
I also wonder if there's a real clash between decision theory, and the claim that knowledge is the norm of action (KNA). There is an important sense in which Sue should not eat the poisonous apple, even though she's starving, and her evidence indicates that it's edible. Alas, she eats it. Decision theory says she's not irrational; KNA says her action has fallen short of its expected norm. But the two seem compatible, insofar as the first is concerned with what is rational for Sue to do, based on her available evidence, and the second with what she has objectively good reason to do (given she doesn't want to die!).
Finally, I wonder what is lost if advocates of KNA make the lesser claim that justified true belief is the norm of action.